This establishes your heavy selling and buying points and your minor buying and selling points. Price action and learning price action is now what you base your entry’s, stop loss and target points on; which by the way is another lesson all to itself. Now you’re set and as price make’s it way to and through these levels you can simply update them as needed keeping the 4 or so above price and the 4 below.

The next step is a simple process of maybe adding your trend lines and look for confluence between your horizontal support and resistance map and the angular view from trend lines. In these next few examples we’ll apply a few trend lines, we just don’t want to over do it and add so much to our charts it becomes unreadable and confusing. Its like the old saying of “if you give people too many choices they wont be able to make one” and this is true in trading.
The simplest way to apply trend lines are to look for the last 2 high points and the last 2 low points and connect them, these will also have to moved as price moves to keep pace with price movements. We’ll use the same approach as starting from the Daily chart and mark the most recent points there and then back to the 1 hour to mark the minor points.First the Daily chart and the most recent Daily highs and lows. In figure 6 I’ve marked the most obvious points. That’s something you should consider when placing trend lines as well as support and resistance levels and that’s “if you are not certain or it isn’t

Trading Forex From Your Analysis

Let’s do a quick analysis of the Euro and see what we come up with. It’s obvious the Euro has been trending down ever since the overall high of 1.6038 making an incredible drop to 1.2329, that’s a 23% devaluation in roughly 4 months.
Using Fibonacci and measuring this incredible drop in price we get our retracement points to this move. Looking at how price has reacted to these levels we can see defined support and resistance created at or around these levels. In the example below (Figure 1) we have the Euro weekly and the downtrend measured. Highlighted you’ll see the points that the market has retraced to and each time was successively lower each time, most lately retesting the 38.2 Level or the (Short) level. I say the short level but the market can retrace to the 61.8 level and still remain a short market, its just if price can be maintained below these levels it remains in a short condition. In order for the downside pressure to be relived the market will have to break the 61.8% level and be maintained above that and well see a Long market once again.

Figure 1
Now if we take this one step further and we measure the amount of price that has retraced into this downtrend, we will get the support points. If these support points (from the amount of retracement we get) show support and price bounces from them, we know that price will make another attempt to break the downward momentum and try to break that Downtrend Long level. In (Figure 2) we now measure the retracement to find out if an attempt to break Long will be underway what we find is support fails and the downtrend will continue. This is telling us the Downtrend is still prevailing.

Learning Forex Market Movements: Basic Support and Resistance

In this quick lesson we’ll go over the basic concept of setting up your charts to trade in a support and resistance market, then make an analysis based on your chart; which leads into developing a trading plan. We’re only going to use basic tools, horizontal lines to mark the support and resistance points we find above and below price then add a few trend lines to help see the patterns unfolding. We’ll start with a Daily chart and move to the 1 hour timeframe to trade from since the 1 hour timeframe is the closest thing to a universal chart as we can get.
First the Daily chart. What we are looking for are the recent turning points in the market and we are going to mark these with a horizontal line. The lines above price (resistance) we’ll color code red since the points above price are where we look for the market to turn short from and become selling points. The lines below price we’ll color code blue since the points below price (support) are where we look to buy at. In (figure 1) I’ve marked the closest Daily chart turning points above and below price. These are the immediate support and resistance points to price, that have proven to be a support or resistance point in recent history.

Now as we add support and resistance points what we want to check is, has price reacted to this same point in recent history other that the original point the market turned from. Something to note is that the markets are not mechanical entities where everything is perfect to the pip, there are times where you’ll see it almost seem magical that price reacts to within a pip a level but I assure you it’s nothing magical. The reality of this is each level should be considered a range around the actual horizontal line. The basics to understanding this is that as market orders are placed not everyone will use the exact same price some will place their orders above it some below it in a range. Add to that, that as the market moves to one of these levels it has to absorb the order flow that comes into the market which can cause overshoots as well as coming up short of the level, simply because there are enough orders placed early to this level being tested it absorbs the orders and a bounce or a rejection occurs, thus the market reverses direction; if it cannot absorb the orders around the level it is broken and price continues to move. There are slight deviations of price and charts from broker to broker that have to be accounted for…the slop I call it.
Other things we want to look for are do these levels align with previous transitional points in the market. These are the points where the market actually breaks the low or high of a previous trading period and reverses direction. We at Trade Kings Club call them Logic points. We also like to see highs of candles matched up in history with candle lows, which we like to call pivotal points. In figure 2 I’ve marked some of these points to our first 2 levels.

Many times I’ve seen a trader with one Fibonacci retracement tool on a small timeframe and wondering why price is not reaching a level or seemingly turning at a empty space on the charts. The reasoning for this is that Fib levels are traded from many different timeframes all at the same time and its best to know where all the higher timeframe levels are especially when trading from a small timeframe of 1 hour.
The object is to start from a higher timeframe here so that the trader can be aware of where the higher timeframe support and resistance levels are. In this example Ill set up a chart and make an analysis of each timeframe before stepping down to the next lower one. What this can do is help you to gain a perspective of price movement so that you can be prepared once price begins to move and you will not be at a loss as to why your trades do not work out.
In this example I'll use the EURUSD which is currently the most commonly traded pair and is easiest to trade. We want to start with the weekly and determine if there is trending in the markets and what direction is of that trend. First lets separate the chart into recent trending movements and ranging periods. Figure 1 depicts the ranging periods

Fibonacci is used many ways, but how many of you ever use it to determine the balance point between long and short? Fibonacci can be used to help identify reversal points in the market as they are unfolding and help give us one more tools in our inventory; to give you that ever so hard to keep edge in trading. Reversal signals are key in keeping pace with market sentiment. There are ways that we can use the Fibonacci tool as an aid in seeing these reversal points and to be able to look past its levels as merely support and resistance points. Used properly the Fibonacci tool can give you that looking glass that measures overall market sentiment. A simple observation is all that’s needed with the application of the Fibonacci tool to measure the balance between a long and short market sentiment. One day to the next can give us the direction that the market is most likely to take the following day along with a few basic rules of using the Fibonacci tool.Forex Training Video On How We Use The Fibonacci Retracement LevelsIn this Forex training video I strip down the Fibonacci tool so we can focus on the three main inner levels of the tool. The Fibonacci retracements are a critical part of trading as they provide entry points into the market where you are buying at wholesale. Remember you want to buy at wholesale and sell at retail to make money. Once again we use the Fibonacci to to frame the market and create our market lens. We do not use it as some magical indicator. It provides great opportunities to make money trading Forex; when used logically.

Yesterday brought to a close another good week for the Forex Trade Kings Club and myself. We have enjoyed 5 weeks now with our weekly targets being met and we expect this to continue. The more volatility there is in the markets the more we like it. This past week the Euro has fell to test the previous support left by natural support and resistance points. Initially this point has held in the 1.3300 range a second test here and we could see a failure this next time around. Looking at this movement of the Euro over the past week since the initial test of 1.3300 (figure 1) and the events that unfolded from that point.This week we'll look at using the Fibonacci retracement tool to gauge price movement and give some pointers on using the Fibonacci retracement tool. In this example we'll use the USD/Yen and start from the 4 hour perspective. (Figure 1) is the starting point where we watch the retracement. After making a high we see price begin to fall, find mild support and begin to move back up. As it moves back up we can use the fib tool to point out the resistance levels to price.